Assistant/Associate Professor, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Jan 2011 - Jul 2016
Education
Ph.D in Statistics, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
2006 - 2010
B.Sc in Mathematics, University of Science and Technology of China
2002 - 2006
Awards
Fellow, International Statistical Institute
Since 2023
Fellow, Journal of Econometrics
Since 2023
Papers
Machine learning in finance
Zhu, Z. and Zhu, K. (2024), Enhancement of price trend trading strategies via image-induced importance weights.
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Zhu, Z., Zhang, N. and Zhu, K. (2024), Big portfolio selection by graph-based conditional moments method. Journal of Empirical Finance 78, 101533.
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Yang, X., Zhu, Z., Li, D. and Zhu, K. (2024),
Asset pricing via the conditional quantile variational autoencoder. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 42, 681-694.
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Causal inference
Zhang, N., Yu, H. and Zhu, K. (2024), How effective is the regional joint environmental policy in China? Evidence from inverse difference-in-differences. To appear in Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics.
PDFJournal LinkNews report from China Environment News (In Chinese)
Cheung, Y.Y.H., Lam, K.F., Zhang, H., Kwan, C.W., Wat, K.P., Zhang, Z., Zhu, K., Cheung, Y.K. and Yin, G. (2023), A randomized controlled experiment for comparing face-to-face and online teaching during COVID-19 pandemic. Frontiers in Education, 8.
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Gong, H. and Zhu, K. (2022), Info intervention and its causal calculus. In 1st Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, California, United States.
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Panel data analysis
Su, B. and Zhu, K. (2024), Inference for the panel ARMA-GARCH model when both N and T are large.
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Su, B. Zhu, F. and Zhu, K. (2023), Logarithmic spatial heteroscedasticity model with exogenous variables: An application to house selling prices in Ohio.
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Time series analysis
Yu, C., Zhu, Z. and Zhu, K. (2025), Tensor dynamic conditional correlation model: A new way to pursuit "Holy Grail of investing".
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Song, K., Jiang, F. and Zhu, K. (2024), Estimation for conditional moment models based on martingale difference divergence. To appear in Journal of Time Series Analysis.
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Yu, C., Li, D., Jiang, F. and Zhu, K. (2024), Matrix GARCH model: Inference and application. To appear in Journal of the American Statistical Association.
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Zhang, N. and Zhu, K. (2023), Quantiled conditional variance, skewness, and kurtosis by Cornish-Fisher expansion.
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Zhu, K. (2023), A new generalized exponentially weighted moving average quantile model and its statistical inference. Journal of Econometrics 237, 105510.
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Jiang, F., Li, D., Li, W.K. and Zhu, K. (2023), Testing and modelling for the structural change in covariance matrix time series with multiplicative form. Statistica Sinica 33, 787-818.
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Ling, S. and Zhu, K. (2022), Self-weighted LSE and residual-based QMLE of ARMA-GARCH models. Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15, 90.
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Liu, M., Zhu, F. and Zhu, K. (2022), Modeling normalcy-dominant ordinal time series: An application to air quality level. Journal of Time Series Analysis 43, 460-478.
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Zhou, J., Jiang, F., Zhu, K. and Li, W.K. (2022), Time series models for realized covariance matrices based on the matrix-F distribution. Statistica Sinica 32, 755-786.
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Wang, G., Zhu, K., Li, G. and Li, W.K. (2022), Hybrid quantile estimation for asymmetric power GARCH models. Journal of Econometrics 227, 264-284.
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Jiang, F., Li, D. and Zhu, K. (2021), Adaptive inference for a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model. Journal of Econometrics 224, 306-329.
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Jiang, F., Li, D. and Zhu, K. (2020), Non-standard inference for augmented double autoregressive models with null volatility coefficients. Journal of Econometrics 215, 165-183.
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Li, D. and Zhu, K. (2020), Inference for asymmetric exponentially weighted moving average models. Journal of Time Series Analysis 41, 154-162.
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Zhu, K. (2019), Statistical inference for autoregressive models under heteroscedasticity of unknown form. Annals of Statistics 47, 3185-3215.
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Li, D., Guo, S. and Zhu, K. (2019), Double AR model without intercept: An alternative to modeling nonstationarity and heteroscedasticity. Econometric Reviews 38, 319-331.
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Li, D., Zhang, X., Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2018), The ZD-GARCH model: A new way to study heteroscedasticity. Journal of Econometrics 202, 1-17.
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Zhu, K., Li, W.K. and Yu, P.L.H. (2017), Buffered autoregressive models with conditional heteroscedasticity: An application to exchange rates. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 35, 528-542.
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Zhu, K. and Li, W.K. (2015), A new Pearson-type QMLE for conditionally heteroskedastic models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 33, 552-565.
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Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2015), LADE-based inference for ARMA models with unspecified and heavy-tailed heteroscedastic noises. Journal of the American Statistical Association 110, 784-794.
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Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2015), Model-based pricing for financial derivatives. Journal of Econometrics 187, 447-457.
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Guo, S., Ling, S. and Zhu, K. (2014), Factor double autoregressive models with application to simultaneous causality testing. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 148, 82-94.
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Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2013), Quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimators for a double AR(p) model. Statistica Sinica 23, 251-270.
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Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2012), The Global weighted LAD estimators for finite/infinite variance ARMA(p, q) models. Econometric Theory 28, 1065-1086.
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Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2011), Global self-weighted and local quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimators for ARMA-GARCH/IGARCH models. Annals of Statistics 39, 2131-2163.
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Goodness-of-fit testing
Luo, D., Zhu, K., Gong, H. and Li, D. (2023), Testing error distribution by kernelized Stein discrepancy in multivariate time series models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 41, 111-125.
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Wang, G., Zhu, K. and Shao, X. (2022), Testing for the martingale difference hypothesis in multivariate time series models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 40, 980-994.
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Liu, M., Zhu, F. and Zhu, K. (2022), Multifrequency-band tests for white noise under heteroskedasticity. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 40, 799-814.
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Wang, G., Li, W.K. and Zhu, K. (2021), New HSIC-based tests for independence between two stationary multivariate time series. Statistica Sinica 31, 269-300.
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Zhu, K. (2020), Hausman tests for the error distribution in conditionally heteroskedastic models.
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Wang, Q. and Zhu, K. (2020), On a measure of lack of fit in nonlinear cointegrating regression with endogeneity. Statistica Sinica 30, 371-396.
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Wang, Q., Wu, D. and Zhu, K. (2018), Model checks for nonlinear cointegrating regression. Journal of Econometrics 207, 261-284.
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Zhu, K. (2016), Bootstrapping the portmanteau tests in weak auto-regressive moving average models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 78, 463-485.
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Chen, M. and Zhu, K. (2015), Sign-based portmanteau test for ARCH-type models with heavy-tailed innovations. Journal of Econometrics 189, 313-320.
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Zhu, K. and Li, W.K. (2015), A bootstrapped spectral test for adequacy in weak ARMA models. Journal of Econometrics 187, 113-130.
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Zhu, K., Yu, P.L.H. and Li, W.K. (2014), Testing for the buffered autoregressive processes. Statistica Sinica 24, 971-984.
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Ling, S., Zhu, K. and Chong, C.Y. (2013), Diagnostic checking for non-stationary ARMA models with an application to financial data. North American Journal of Economics and Finance 26, 624-639.
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Zhu, K. (2013), A mixed portmanteau test for ARMA-GARCH model by the quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimation approach. Journal of Time Series Analysis 34, 230-237.
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Zhu, K. and Ling, S. (2012), Likelihood ratio tests for the structural change of an AR(p) model to a threshold AR(p) model. Journal of Time Series Analysis 33, 223-232.
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